Just two of the demographic groups most alienated from Trump - white women with college degrees and African-American women at all education levels - could compose as much of two-fifths of all Democratic primary voters next year, the CNN exit poll analysis suggests. Party strategists almost universally expect those trends to persist, and even accelerate in 2020, as minority, white-collar and female voters continue to recoil from President Trump. “We’re going to see an intensifying trend toward an electorate that is more diverse, better educated, and possibly, this time, even 60 percent or more of the voters will be women,” says about the Democratic electorate in 2020. Over the past decade, the electorate in the Democratic presidential primary has grown more racially diverse, better educated and more heavily tilted toward female voters, an extensive new CNN analysis of exit poll data has found.

One of the defining characteristics of the 2020 Democratic presidential contest is the unprecedented diversity of the field, which already features more women and minority candidates than ever.īut even more significant than the increasing variety of the contenders may be the growing diversity of the primary voters who will choose among them.